Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 195.641585 235.882783 286.407887 356.132812 452.630035 5.860633e+02 793.669893
2025-01-19 141.583063 184.725575 245.890184 343.888867 508.092611 7.983318e+02 1433.574909
2025-01-26 127.578172 178.355485 258.762238 408.080093 716.838470 1.463255e+03 4302.931783
2025-02-02 118.503496 175.275142 273.994564 483.808718 1021.788090 2.931785e+03 23141.620143
2025-02-09 101.614274 154.745090 251.845956 474.509126 1126.442917 4.196266e+03 135167.870113
2025-02-16 91.971001 144.252051 244.823719 495.066272 1349.469460 7.288970e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 88.021362 142.944684 255.330315 565.438078 1877.268000 2.065174e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 84.453224 141.482961 264.961912 641.480399 2651.472499 1.073939e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 77.512589 132.000534 253.602478 645.683794 3061.662536 6.190147e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 70.033922 120.284026 234.222353 612.759667 3143.671527 4.941694e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 65.181191 113.390218 225.360184 614.979483 3591.877447 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 60.729988 106.753228 215.779476 610.209259 4007.602393 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 55.949228 100.128979 208.449185 628.614365 5207.883518 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 50.155319 90.617204 191.666418 598.988145 5721.613899 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 49.474392 92.485240 207.368087 743.953441 13969.044105 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 48.742501 94.085437 223.331301 927.756443 52286.747607 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 44.789840 87.115792 209.669240 904.334369 76315.814760 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 42.335054 83.501977 206.224719 956.110934 236422.694610 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 41.416798 83.627880 215.865330 1140.843780 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-25 40.440113 83.418877 224.424411 1353.386107 NaN NaN NaN
2025-06-01 38.103924 79.163598 215.998787 1365.527070 NaN NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.390528 73.545645 200.774588 1271.524696 NaN NaN NaN
2025-06-15 33.542011 70.121255 193.710548 1277.782878 NaN NaN NaN